The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active levels on April 22 due to effects from CH1286. Solar wind speed at SOHO ranged between 597 and 711 km/sec, averaging 651 km/sec (+44 km/sec compared to the previous day). The high latitude magnetometer at Andenes recorded quiet to major storm levels. The above 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels.
Solar flux density measured at 20h UT on 2.8 GHz was 163.4 - increasing 12.0 over the previous solar rotation. The 365 days average solar flux at 1 AU was 194.54 (183 days ago). SC25 peak: 195.86 on October 13, 2024 (subtracting a baseline solar flux level of 65, this is +62.6% compared to the SC24 peak and -1.7% compared to the SC23 peak). The Potsdam WDC planetary A index was 37 (STAR Ap - based on the mean of three hour interval ap indices: 37.4). Three hour interval K indices: 43322333 (planetary), 33423322 (Boulder), 44323365 (Andenes).
The background x-ray flux is at the class C1 level (GOES 19).
At the time of counting spots (see image time), spots were observed in 18 active regions using 2K resolution (SN: 362) and in 13 active regions using 1K resolution (SN: 223) SDO/HMI images.
AR 14062 [S03W30] decayed slowly and was mostly
quiet. C1 flares: C1.7 @ 07:23 UT
AR 14063 [N05W77] decayed slowly and was mostly quiet. C1 flares:
C1.6 @ 03:18 UT
AR 14064 [N10E08] gained spots in the trailing spot section and a
tiny magnetic delta configuration formed. Otherwise the region was in slow
decay. C1 flares: C1.7 @ 21:21 UT
AR 14065 [S31W00] decayed slowly and produced a C2.9 flare at 08:21
UT. This flare was associated with a CME that may have an Earth directed
component.
AR 14067 [S02W03] decayed further and was quiet.
AR 14068 [S26E49] was mostly quiet and stable. C1 flares: C1.8 @
18:30 UT
New AR 14069 [S08E09] emerged on April 20 and was numbered by SWPC 2
days later. A minor M class flare is possible. C1 flares: C1.6 @ 06:40 UT
New AR 14070 [S12E39] emerged on April 20 and got its NOAA number 2
days later as development continued.
Spotted regions not observed (or interpreted
differently) by SWPC/USAF:
S10997 [S12W63] was quiet and stable.
S10998 [S14W67] was quiet and stable. Note that SWPC numbered AR
14071 on April 22 including both ARs S10997 and S10989 in that region.
S10999 [N16E35] was mostly quiet and stable.
S11003 [S18W29] was quiet and stable.
S11009 [S05E62] decayed after the C9 flare early in the day.
New region S11010 [N23E13] was observed with tiny spots in an
old plage area.
New region S11011 [S17E78] rotated into view
with a mature spot.
New region S11012 [S14E22] was observed with tiny spots in an
old plage area.
New region S11013 [N22W26] emerged with a tiny spot.
New region S11014 [S22W11] emerged with a tiny spot.
A C1.5 flare was recorded at 22:33 UT from a location at the southeast limb.
C2+ flares
Magnitude | Peak time (UT) | Location | Source | Recorded by | Comment |
C9.9 | 01:00 | S11009 | GOES19 | ||
C2.9 | 08:21 | S30E09 | 14065 | GOES19 | CME |
C2.8 | 09:08 | 14069 | GOES19 | CME | |
C3.3 | 09:41 | S13W58 (SDO/AIA) | S10998 | GOES19 | |
M1.3 | 10:48 | behind NW limb | 14060 | GOES19 | LDE, CME |
C3.3 | 12:13 | S10999 | GOES19 | ||
C2.6 | 18:57 | 14062 | GOES19 | ||
C2.2 | 19:52 | 14068 | GOES19 | ||
C2.1 | 20:01 | 14068 | GOES19 |
April 20-21: No obviously Earth directed CMEs.
April 22: A number of CMEs were observed during the day. The only one
that might have an Earth directed company was observed after a C2.9 flare in
AR 14065 when that region was rotating across the central meridian. While
most of the CME was directed due south, there is a chance of CME effects on
April 25.
[Coronal
hole history (since October 2002)]
[Compare today's report to the situation one solar rotation ago:
28 days ago
27 days ago
26 days ago]
A very large positive polarity southern hemisphere coronal hole (CH1286) will rotate across the central meridian on April 17-24. A small northern hemisphere positive polarity coronal hole (CH1287) will likely become Earth facing on April 22. Another northern hemisphere positive polarity coronal hole (CH1288) will likely become Earth facing on April 24.
Long distance low and medium frequency (below 2 MHz) propagation along paths north of due west over upper middle and high latitudes is poor. Propagation on long distance northeast-southwest paths is poor to fair.
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on April 23-27 due to effects from CH1286. Effects from CH1287 could add to the disturbance on April 25-26, while CH1288 could contribute some unsettled and active intervals on April 27-28. The April 22 CME could reach Earth on April 25 and cause some active and minor storm intervals.
Coronal holes (1) | Coronal mass ejections (2) | M and X class flares (3) |
1) Effects from a coronal hole could
reach Earth within the next 5 days. When the high speed stream has arrived
the color changes to green.
2) Effects from a CME are likely to be observed at Earth within 96
hours.
3) There is a possibility of either M or X class flares within the
next 48 hours.
Green: 0-30% probability, Yellow: 30-70% probability, Red: 70-100% probability.
(Click on image for 2K resolution).
4K resolution.
Compare to the previous
day's image. 0.5K image
When available the active region map has a coronal hole polarity overlay where red (pink) is negative and blue is positive.
Data for all officially numbered solar regions according to the Solar Region Summary provided by NOAA/SWPC, all other regions are numbered sequentially as they emerge using the STAR spot number. Comments are my own, as is the STAR spot count (spots observed at or inside a few hours before midnight) and data for regions not numbered by SWPC or where SWPC has observed no spots. SWPC active region numbers in the table below and in the active region map above are the historic SWPC/USAF numbers. SWPC data considered to be not sufficiently precise (location, area, classification) are colored red.
Active region | SWPC date numbered STAR detected |
Spot count | Location at midnight | Area | Classification | SDO / HMI 4K continuum image with magnetic polarity overlays |
Comment | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SWPC/ USAF |
STAR | SWPC | STAR | Current | Previous | ||||||
2K | 1K | ||||||||||
14062 | 2025.04.14 2025.04.15 |
15 | 36 | 19 | S02W32 | 0130 | DAI | CAO |
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beta-gamma was AR S10984 area: 0270 location: S03W30 |
S10985 | 2025.04.14 | N05W31 | |||||||||
14063 | 2025.04.15 2025.04.16 |
2 | 4 | 2 | N05W79 | 0010 | CRO | CRO |
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was AR S10987 area: 0020 location: N05W77 |
14064 | 2025.04.15 2025.04.16 |
18 | 37 | 24 | N11W07 | 0250 | EHI | EAC |
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beta-gamma-delta was AR S10989 location: N10W03 area: 0370 |
14065 | 2025.04.16 2025.04.17 |
1 | 5 | 2 | S31W02 | 0070 | HSX | CSO |
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was AR S10990 location: S31W00 |
S10992 | 2025.04.16 | N15W41 |
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||||||||
14066 | 2025.04.17 | S05W19 | these are the trailing spots of AR 14062. There was no obvious reason for SWPC's split, which would make this an interpretational mistake | ||||||||
14067 | 2025.04.17 2025.04.18 |
2 | 6 | 1 | S03E01 | 0010 | BXO | CRO |
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was AR S10994 location: S02W03 |
S10995 | 2025.04.17 | N03W35 | |||||||||
S10996 | 2025.04.18 | N32W50 | |||||||||
S10997 | 2025.04.18 | 8 | 4 | S12W63 | 0025 | BXO |
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|||
S10998 | 2025.04.19 | 6 | 3 | S14W67 | 0020 | CRI |
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|||
S10999 | 2025.04.19 | 6 | N16E35 | 0008 | BXO |
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||||
S11000 | 2025.04.19 | S10W18 | |||||||||
14068 | 2025.04.20 2025.04.21 |
3 | 10 | 5 | S26E46 | 0070 | DSO | DSO |
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was AR S11002 location: S26E49 area: 0120 |
S11003 | 2025.04.20 | 6 | 5 | S18W29 | 0015 | BXO |
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|||
14070 | 2025.04.20 2025.04.22 |
4 | 22 | 14 | S12E38 | 0040 | CAO | DRI |
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was AR S11004 area: 0120 location: S12E39 |
S11005 | 2025.04.20 | N23E13 | |||||||||
14069 | 2025.04.20 2025.04.22 |
4 | 20 | 12 | S08E07 | 0020 | CAO | DAI |
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was AR S11006 area: 0200 location: S08E09 |
S11007 | 2025.04.21 | N10E13 |
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||||||||
S11008 | 2025.04.21 | S18W57 |
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S11009 | 2025.04.21 | 2 | 1 | S05E62 | 0006 | AXX |
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|||
14071 | 2025.04.22 | 3 | S13W69 | 0010 | BXO | probably SWPC regards ARs S10997 and S10998 as one region | |||||
S11010 | 2025.04.22 | 6 | N23E13 | 0010 | AXX |
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|||||
S11011 | 2025.04.22 | 2 | 2 | S17E78 | 0130 | HSX |
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||||
S11012 | 2025.04.22 | 4 | S14E22 | 0008 | BXO |
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|||||
S11013 | 2025.04.22 | 1 | N22W26 | 0001 | AXX |
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S11014 | 2025.04.22 | 1 | S33W11 | 0001 | AXX |
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|||||
Total spot count: | 52 | 182 | 94 | ||||||||
Sunspot number: | 142 | 362 | 224 | (total spot count + 10 * number of spotted regions) | |||||||
Weighted SN: | 90 | 224 | 136 | (Sum of total spot count + classification weighting for each AR. Classification weighting: X=0, R=3, A/S=5, H/K=10) | |||||||
Relative sunspot number (Wolf number): | 156 | 199 | 179 |
Month | Average solar flux | International sunspot number (WDC-SILSO) |
Smoothed sunspot number (4) | Average
ap (3) |
|
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Measured | 1 AU | ||||
2014.02 | 170.3 (cycle peak) |
166.3 | 146.1 (SC24 peak) | 110.5 | 10.70 |
2014.04 | 143.9 | 144.8 | 112.5 | 116.4 (SC24 solar max) | 7.88 |
2017.09 | 91.3 | 92.3 | 43.6 | 18.2 (-1.3) | 18.22 (SC24 peak) |
2019.11 | 70.2 | 68.7 | 0.5 | 2.0 (-0.6) (Solar minimum using 365d smoothing: November 17, 2019) |
4.19 |
2019.12 | 70.8 | 68.6 | 1.6 | 1.8 (-0.2) (ISN 13 months smoothed solar minimum) |
3.22 |
2023.10 | 142.8 | 141.9 | 99.9 | 124.8 (+0.8) | 8.16 |
2023.11 | 153.5 | 150.2 | 107.1 | 127.9 (+3.1) | 12.20 |
2023.12 | 151.1 | 146.4 | 113.5 | 129.5 (+1.6) | 9.60 |
2024.01 | 164.6 | 159.3 | 126.0 | 131.2 (+1.7) | 5.46 |
2024.02 | 172.5 | 168.3 | 123.0 | 136.9 (+5.7) | 5.31 |
2024.03 | 154.4 | 152.9 | 103.7 | 141.4 (+4.5) | 11.03 |
2024.04 | 161.3 | 162.6 | 137.0 | 144.5 (+3.1) | 9.69 |
2024.05 | 187.7 | 191.9 | 172.1 | 149.1 (+4.6) | 23.56 (SC25 peak) |
2024.06 | 184.3 | 190.2 | 164.1 | 152.7 (+3.6) | 10.24 |
2024.07 | 196.6 | 203.0 | 196.8 | 154.9 (+2.3) | 7.13 |
2024.08 | 246.1 (cycle peak) |
252.2 | 216.0 (SC25 peak) | 156.7 (+1.8) | 15.96 |
2024.09 | 195.7 | 197.8 | 141.1 | 159.3 (+1.6) | 15.36 |
2024.10 | 221.0 | 219.6 | 165.8 | (160.2 projected, +0.9) | 18.99 |
2024.11 | 199.6 | 195.3 | 154.1 | (157.6 projected, -2.6) | 9.33 |
2024.12 | 197.3 | 191.2 | 154.6 | (153.8 projected, -3.8) | 8.42 |
2025.01 | 190.3 | 184.2 | 137.0 | (148.3 projected, -5.5) | 13.17 |
2025.02 | 184.2 | 179.7 | 154.7 | (139.8 projected, -8.5) | 14.42 |
2025.03 | 163.7 | 162.1 | 134.2 | (133.4 projected, -6.4) | 15.96 |
2025.04 | 164.2 (1) | 88.7 (2A) / 121.0 (2B) / 140.2 (2C) ISN average: 130 |
(128.8 projected, -4.6) | (22.0) | |
2025.05 | (123.5 projected, -5.3) | ||||
2025.06 | (118.6 projected, -4.9) | ||||
2025.07 | (114.5 projected, -4.1) | ||||
2025.08 | (109.8 projected, -4.7) | ||||
2025.09 | (105.5 projected, -4.3) |
1) Running average based on the daily 20:00 UTC observed solar flux value
at 2800 MHz and any corrections applied to that measurement.
2A) Current impact on the monthly sunspot number based on the Boulder
(NOAA/SWPC) sunspot number (accumulated daily sunspots / month days).
2B) Boulder SN current month average to date.
2C) STAR SDO 1K Wolf number 27 day average.
3) Running average based on the quicklook and definitive Potsdam WDC ap
indices. Values in red
are based on the definitive international
GFZ Potsdam WDC ap
indices.
4) Source: WDC-SILSO, Royal Observatory
Of Belgium, Brussels
Sunspot activity has been on a slowly decreasing trend since September 2024 (using the average solar flux over 3 solar rotations as a proxy). All 365 days smoothed sunspot numbers peaked on October 11-12, 2024, very likely making this the solar max. SDO1K 365d peak: 236.1, SDO2K 365d peak: 364.4, NOAA SN 365d peak: 156.0, ISN 365d peak: 163.6. The 365d smoothed solar flux peaked on October 13, 2024, only 1.7% below the SC23 peak, and 62.6% above the SC24 peak.
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This report has been prepared by Jan Alvestad. It is based on the analysis of data from whatever sources are available at the time the report is prepared. All time references are to Universal Time. Comments and suggestions are always welcome.
SDO images are courtesy of NASA/SDO and the AIA, EVE, and HMI science teams.