Solar Terrestrial Activity Report

Activity chart

Last major update issued on March 10, 2026 at 07:35 UT.

Charts (* = updated daily) Data and archive
  Solar wind (*) Solar and geomagnetic data - last month (*)
  Electron fluence (*) Archived daily reports and monthly data since 2003.01 (March 1, 2026)
Solar cycle Solar cycles 23-25 (March 1, 2026) Historical solar and geomagnetic data charts 1954-2006 (April 5, 2007)
  Cycle 24-25 progress (March 1, 2026) Noon SDO sunspot count 1K image / 4K (*)
  Solar cycles 1-24 (August 1, 2020) POES auroral activity level [October 2009 - December 2012]
  Comparison of cycles 21-25 (March 1, 2026) 3rd SSN Workshop, Tucson, 2013
  Comparison of cycles 12-14, 16, 24-25 (March 1, 2026) 4th SSN Workshop, Locarno, 2014
  Solar polar fields vs. solar cycles (December 21, 2025) Cycle 25 initial spots (final update December 25, 2019)
  Solar cycles 24-25 transition using 365d smoothing  

Recent activity

The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels on March 9. Solar wind speed at SOHO ranged between 422 and 514 km/sec, averaging 483 km/sec (-61 km/sec compared to the previous day). The high latitude magnetometer at Andenes was at quiet to active levels. The above 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels all day.

Solar flux density measured at 20h UT on 2.8 GHz was 128.2 - decreasing 0.7 over the previous solar rotation.

The 365 day average solar flux at 1 AU was 146.95 (183 days ago). The 81 day average solar flux at 1 AU was 140.7 (41 days ago, this is 45.3% of the total SC25 solar flux range from the max 81 day average peak on September 4, 2024 at 227.3 and an average 81 day flux of 69 at solar minimum). SC25 365d peak: 195.9 on October 13, 2024.

The Potsdam WDC planetary A index was 6 (STAR Ap - based on the average of three hour interval ap indices: 6.0). Three hour interval K indices: 21112222 (planetary), 12013322 (Boulder), 42113334 (Andenes).

The background x-ray flux is at the class B5 level (GOES 19).

At the time of counting spots (see image time), spots were observed in 12 active regions using 2K resolution (SN: 182) and in 11 active regions using 1K resolution (SN: 144) SDO/HMI images.

AR 14378 [N16W84] was quiet and stable.
AR 14381 [N08W56] decayed slowly producing several low level C flares. C1 flares: C1.2 @ 02:54, C1.6 @ 06:31 UT
AR 14384 [N09W30] decayed slowly and quietly.
AR 14387 [N09E55] decayed slowly and produced several C flares. C1 flares: C1.7 @ 08:07 UT
New AR 14388 [S14W19] emerged on March 5 with tiny spots, then new flux emerged on March 9 and the region was numbered by SWPC.

Spotted regions not observed (or interpreted differently) by SWPC/USAF:
AR S11911 [S18E11] reemerged with tiny spots.
AR S11915 [N12E67] was mostly quiet and stable.  C1 flares: C1.8 @ 07:02 UT
New AR S11916 [N17W52] emerged with tiny spots before noon, then decayed slowly.
New AR S11917 [N15W41] emerged with tiny spots.
New AR S11918 [N26E40] emerged with tiny spots.
New AR S11919 [N13E79] rotated into view with a few spots. C1 flares: C1.0 @ 13:51, C1.4 @ 21:57 UT
New AR S11920 [S08E14] emerged with a tiny spot.

A C1.7 flare at 10:54 UT had its origin near the northeast limb in a spotless plage area.

C2+ flares

Magnitude Peak time (UT) Location Source Recorded by Comment
C2.3 12:56   14381 GOES18  
C7.8 20:38   14387 GOES18  

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs)

March 7-9: No obviously Earth directed CMEs were observed in available coronagraph imagery.

Coronal holes

[Coronal hole history (since October 2002)]
[Compare today's report to the situation one solar rotation ago: 28 days ago 27 days ago 26 days ago]

A recurrent trans equatorial positive polarity coronal hole (CH1349) will likely rotate across the central meridian on March 11-13.

Forecast

The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on March 10-12. March 13-15 could see unsettled to minor storm levels due to effects from CH1349.

Coronal holes (1) Coronal mass ejections (2) M and X class flares (3)
     

1) Effects from a coronal hole could reach Earth within the next 5 days. When the high speed stream has arrived the color changes to green.
2) Effects from a CME are likely to be observed at Earth within 96 hours.
3) There is a possibility of either M or X class flares within the next 48 hours.

Green: 0-30% probability, Yellow: 30-70% probability, Red: 70-100% probability.

Active solar regions



(Click on image for 2K resolution). 4K resolution. Compare to the previous day's image.
0.5K image

When available the active region map has a coronal hole polarity overlay where red (pink) is negative and blue is positive.

Data for all officially numbered solar regions according to the Solar Region Summary provided by NOAA/SWPC, all other regions are numbered sequentially as they emerge using the STAR spot number. Comments are my own, as is the STAR spot count (spots observed at or inside a few hours before midnight) and data for regions not numbered by SWPC or where SWPC has observed no spots. SWPC active region numbers in the table below and in the active region map above are the historic SWPC/USAF numbers. SWPC data considered to be not sufficiently precise (location, area, classification) are colored red.

Active region SWPC date numbered
STAR detected
Spot count Location at midnight Area Classification SDO / HMI 4K continuum
image with magnetic polarity overlays
Comment
SWPC/
USAF
STAR SWPC STAR Current Previous
2K 1K
14379 2026.02.24
2026.02.25
      S19W85           was AR S11882
14378 2026.02.25
2026.02.25
1 1 1 N17W85 0120 HSX HHX

was AR S11886

area: 0400

location: N16W84

14380 2026.02.25
2026.02.26
      S21W73          

was AR S11889

location: S21W67

14381 2026.02.27
2026.02.27
4 13 7 N09W50 0120 ESO ESO

was AR S11892

area: 0210

location: N08W56

SWPC location is way off

14385 2026.02.28
2026.03.04
      S09W37         was AR S11898

location: S09W36

14384 2026.03.01
2026.03.01
2 6 4 N09W27 0210 CSO DAO was AR S11899

area: 0240

location: N09W30

S11903 2026.03.02       S20W56          
S11908 2026.03.04       S22W27            
14388 2026.03.05
2026.03.09
8 13 8 S15W18 0020 CRI DRI was AR S11910

area: 0050

location: S14W19

S11911 2026.03.05   3 1 S18E11 0005   BXO    
S11913 2026.03.06       S39E04            
14387 2026.03.07
2026.03.08
7 11 5 N09E53 0030 DRO DRO was AR S11914

area: 0050

location: N08E55

S11915 2026.03.08   3 1 N12E67 0015   CRO  
S11916 2026.03.09   3 1 N17W52 0004   BXO    
S11917 2026.03.09   2 1 N15W41 0004   BXO    
S11918 2026.03.09   3 2 N26E40 0005   BXO    
S11919 2026.03.09   3 3 N13E79 0020   CRO    
S11920 2026.03.09   1   S08E14 0002   AXX    
Total spot count: 22 62 34  
Sunspot number: 72 182 144  (total spot count + 10 * number of spotted regions)
Weighted SN: 43 94 66  (Sum of total spot count + classification weighting for each AR. Classification weighting: X=0, R=3, A/S=5, H/K=10)
Relative sunspot number (Wolf number): 79 100 115  

Monthly solar cycle data

Month Average solar flux International sunspot number
(WDC-SILSO)
Smoothed sunspot number (4) Average ap
(3)
Measured 1 AU
2024.05 187.7 191.9 172.1 149.1 (+4.6) 23.56
(SC25 peak)
2024.08  246.1
(SC25 peak)
252.2 216.0  (SC25 peak) 156.8 (+1.8) 15.96
2024.10 221.0 219.6 165.8 160.9 (+1.5) (SC25 solar max) 18.99
2024.12 197.3 191.2 154.6 151.2 (-6.0) 8.42
2025.01 190.3 184.2 137.0 146.2 (-5.0) 13.17
2025.02 184.2 179.7 155.7 139.8 (-6.4) 14.42
2025.03 163.7 162.1 134.2 135.9 (-3.9) 15.96
2025.04 162.5 163.6 141.4 133.3 (-2.6) 17.62
2025.05 135.3 138.3 78.5 128.6 (-4.7) 17.26
2025.06 131.3 135.4 114.6 124.7 (-3.9) 21.43
2025.07 137.8 142.3 125.9 122.4 (-2.3) 11.80
2025.08 154.9 158.7 133.7 118.2 (-4.2) 9.97
2025.09 154.4 156.0 129.7 (113.5 projected, -4.7) 14.02
2025.10 139.5 138.6 114.6 (110.0 projected, -3.5) 15.64
2025.11 140.3 137.3 91.7 (108.3 projected, -1.7) 21.01
2025.12 160.8 155.8 124.0 (107.1 projected, -1.2) 13.35
2026.01 148.7 144.0 112.6 (103.2 projected, -3.9) 22.47
2026.02 136.4 133.1 78.2 (98.9 projected, -4.2) 13.2
2026.03 140.7 (1)   21.7 (2A) / 74.7 (2B) / 89.6 (2C) (94.3 projected, -4.6) (10.1)
2026.04       (90.4 projected, -3.9)  
2026.05       (89.2 projected, -1.2)  
2026.06       (87.1 projected, -2.1)  
2026.07       (82.7 projected, -4.4)  
2026.08       (80.5 projected, -2.2)  

1) Running average based on the daily 20:00 UTC observed solar flux value at 2800 MHz and any corrections applied to that measurement.
2A) Current impact on the monthly sunspot number based on the Boulder (NOAA/SWPC) sunspot number (accumulated daily sunspots / month days).
2B) Boulder SN current month average to date.
2C) STAR SDO 1K Wolf number 27 day average.
3) Running average based on the quicklook and definitive Potsdam WDC ap indices. Values in red are based on the definitive international GFZ Potsdam WDC ap indices.
4) Source: WDC-SILSO, Royal Observatory Of Belgium, Brussels

Solar cycles 24-25

Smoothed SF and sunspot numbers

Update on the progress of solar cycle 25 as of October 2025

Sunspot activity was on a decreasing trend from September 2024 until mid August 2025 (using the average solar flux over 3 solar rotations as a proxy). Then a strong surge in activity saw solar flux peak in late August 2025 just below the largest peaks seen in 2024. A slow decrease in activity from the August level has been observed in September and October 2025.

All 365 day smoothed sunspot numbers reached a maximum on October 11-12, 2024
. This became the peak of SC25 (365 day smoothed peaks: STAR 1K: 236.1, STAR 2K: 364.3, NOAA SN: 156.0, ISN: 163.9), while the 365d smoothed solar flux peaked on October 13, 2024, just 1.7% below the SC23 peak, and 62.6% above the SC24 peak.

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This report has been prepared by Jan Alvestad. It is based on the analysis of data from whichever sources are available at the time the report is prepared. All time references are to Universal Time. Comments and suggestions are always welcome.

SDO images are courtesy of NASA/SDO and the AIA, EVE, and HMI science teams.