The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled on June 11. The high latitude magnetometer at Andenes recorded quiet to unsettled levels.
Solar flux density measured at 20h UT on 2.8 GHz was 112.1 - decreasing 41.5 over the previous solar rotation. (Centered 1 year average SF at 1 AU - 183 days ago: 100.53). The Potsdam WDC planetary A index was 7 (STAR Ap - based on the mean of three hour interval ap indices: 7.1). Three hour interval K indices: 22311212 (planetary), ******** (Boulder), 21221223 (Andenes).
The background x-ray flux is at the class B7 level (GOES 16).
At the time of counting spots (see image time), spots were observed in 12 active regions using 2K resolution (SN: 193) and in 5 active regions using 1K resolution (SN: 70) SDO/HMI images.
Region 13029 [S23W21] decayed slowly and quietly. Note that SWPC has moved AR 13029 westwards to the position of AR
S7622.
Region 13030 [N20E49] gained small spots and
was mostly quiet. For unknown
reasons SWPC seems to have included the spots of AR S7626 in this group.
New region 13031 [S27E35] emerged on June 10 and was numbered the
next day by SWPC.
Spotted regions not observed (or interpreted
differently) by SWPC:
S7609 [S25W68] was quiet and stable.
S7622 [S17W41] decayed slowly and quietly.
S7626 [N20E59] developed slowly late on June 11 with more significant
development observed early on June 12. Should the current rate of
development continue the region could form a magnetic delta. C1 flare: C1.2 @
14:10 UT
S7628 [S17E28] was quiet and stable.
S7629 [N18E34] was quiet and stable.
New region S7631 [N16E80] rotated into view
with a tiny spot. Either this region or another at the northeast limb was
the source of a C1.3 flare at 22:27 UT.
New region S7632 [N17W03] emerged with tiny spots.
New region S7633 [S38W29] emerged with
tiny spots.
Minor update added at 16:55 UT on June 12: Two sunspot groups are rotating into view at the east limb, one was located at S18E83 at 16:15 UT. The other sunspot group is highly unusual as the leader spot is a mature spot and was located at N00E84 at 16:15 UT. The location of AR S7634 strongly suggests a cycle 24 group. Spots this large belonging to the previous cycle are exceptionally unusual at this stage of the current cycle, however, we will have to await that the region rotates into better view to be certain it is an SC24 group. Both groups with images have been added to the active region table.
C2+ flares:
| Magnitude | Peak time (UT) | Location | Source | Recorded by | Comment |
June 9-11: No obviously Earth directed CMEs were observed in available LASCO imagery.
[Coronal hole history (since October 2002)]
[Compare today's report to the situation one solar rotation ago:
28 days ago
27 days ago
26 days ago]
A recurrent trans equatorial coronal hole (CH1081) will likely rotate into an Earth facing position on June 12-13.
Long distance low and medium frequency (below 2 MHz) propagation along paths north of due west over upper middle and high latitudes is poor. Propagation on long distance northeast-southwest paths is poor to fair.
Quiet to unsettled is likely on June 12 becoming quiet on 13-14. Quiet to active conditions are expected on June 15-16 due to effects from CH1081.
| Coronal holes (1) | Coronal mass ejection (2) | M and X class flares (3) |
1) Effects from a coronal hole
could reach Earth within the next 5 days. When the high speed
stream has arrived the color changes to green.
2) Effects from a CME are likely to be observed at Earth within 96 hours.
3) There is a possibility of either M or X class flares within the next 48 hours.
Green: 0-30% probability, Yellow: 30-70% probability, Red: 70-100% probability.
(Click on image for 2K resolution).
4K resolution.
Compare to the previous day's image. 0.5K image
When available the active region map has a coronal hole polarity overlay where red (pink) is negative and blue is positive.
Data for all officially numbered solar regions according to the Solar Region Summary provided by NOAA/SWPC, all other regions are numbered sequentially as they emerge using the STAR spot number. Comments are my own, as is the STAR spot count (spots observed at or inside a few hours before midnight) and data for regions not numbered by SWPC or where SWPC has observed no spots. SWPC active region numbers in the table below and in the active region map above are the historic SWPC/USAF numbers. SWPC data considered to be not sufficiently precise (location, area, classification) are colored red.
| Active region | SWPC date numbered STAR detected |
Spot count | Location at midnight | Area | Classification | SDO / HMI 4K continuum image with magnetic polarity overlays |
Comment | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SWPC/ USAF |
Magnetic (SDO) |
SWPC | STAR | Current | Previous | ||||||
| 2K | 1K | ||||||||||
| S7609 | 2022.06.02 | 1 | S25W68 | 0001 | AXX |
 |
 |
||||
| 13029 | 2022.06.03 2022.06.04 |
2 | 10 | S17W39 | 0020 | BXO | BXO |
 |
 |
location: S23W21 area: 0015 Note that SWPC has moved the location of this group to that of AR S7622 |
|
| 13028 | 2022.06.04 2022.06.04 |
N14W46 |
 |
location: N14W41 | |||||||
| S7622 | 2022.06.08 | 1 | S17W41 | 0001 | AXX |
 |
 |
||||
| S7623 | 2022.06.08 | 6 | S21E27 | 0010 | BXO |
 |
|||||
| 13030 | 2022.06.09 2022.06.10 |
7 | 20 | 7 | N20E52 | 0180 | EAO | DAI |
 |
 |
area: 0090 location: N20E49 |
| S7625 | 2022.06.09 | N19W27 | |||||||||
| S7626 | 2022.06.09 | 6 | 5 | N20E59 | 0130 | CSO |
 |
 |
|||
| S7627 | 2022.06.09 | N19W12 |
 |
||||||||
| S7628 | 2022.06.10 | 5 | S17E28 | 0009 | BXO |
 |
 |
||||
| S7629 | 2022.06.10 | 4 | N18E34 | 0005 | BXO |
 |
 |
||||
| 13031 | 2022.06.10 2022.06.11 |
2 | 15 | 6 | S27E36 | 0030 | CRO | DRI |
 |
 |
|
| S7631 | 2022.06.11 | 1 | 1 | N16E80 | 0005 | AXX |
 |
||||
| S7632 | 2022.06.11 | 2 | N17W03 | 0004 | BXO |
 |
|||||
| S7633 | 2022.06.11 | 2 | 1 | S38W29 | 0004 | BXO |
 |
||||
| S7634 | 2022.06.12 | N00E84 @ 16:15 UT | 0150 |
 |
|||||||
| S7635 | 2022.06.12 | S18E83 @ 16:15 UT | 0060 |
 |
|||||||
| Total spot count: | 11 | 73 | 20 | ||||||||
| Sunspot number: | 41 | 193 | 70 | (total spot count + 10 * number of spotted regions) | |||||||
| Weighted SN: | 19 | 86 | 33 | (Sum of total spot count + classification weighting for each AR. Classification weighting: X=0, R=3, A/S=5, H/K=10) | |||||||
| Relative sunspot number (Wolf number): | 45 | 106 | 56 | ||||||||
| Month | Average solar flux | International sunspot number (WDC-SILSO) |
Smoothed sunspot number (4) | Average ap (3) |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Measured | 1 AU | ||||
| 2014.02 | 170.3 (cycle peak) |
166.3 | 146.1 (SC24 peak) | 110.5 | 10.70 |
| 2014.04 | 143.9 | 144.8 | 112.5 | 116.4 (solar max) | 7.88 |
| 2017.09 | 91.3 | 92.3 | 43.6 | 18.2 (-1.3) | 18.22 (cycle peak) |
| 2019.11 | 70.2 | 68.7 | 0.5 | 2.0 (-0.6) (Solar minimum using 365d smoothing: November 17, 2019) |
4.19 |
| 2019.12 | 70.8 | 68.6 | 1.6 | 1.8 (-0.2) (ISN 13 months smoothed solar minimum) |
3.22 |
| 2020.12 | 86.9 | 84.2 | 23.1 | 15.3 (+1.7) | 4.72 |
| 2021.01 | 76.0 | 73.6 | 10.4 | 17.3 (+2.0) | 4.39 |
| 2021.02 | 74.3 | 72.4 | 8.2 | 19.0 (+1.7) | 9.50 |
| 2021.03 | 76.0 | 75.2 | 17.2 | 21.7 (+2.7) | 10.17 |
| 2021.04 | 75.9 | 76.4 | 24.5 | 24.8 (+3.1) | 8.40 |
| 2021.05 | 75.3 | 77.1 | 21.2 | 25.8 (+1.0) | 6.50 |
| 2021.06 | 79.4 | 81.8 | 25.0 | 27.6 (+1.8) | 5.52 |
| 2021.07 | 81.0 | 83.6 | 34.3 | 31.3 (+3.7) | 5.51 |
| 2021.08 | 77.7 | 79.7 | 22.0 | 35.3 (+4.0) | 6.19 |
| 2021.09 | 87.0 | 88.2 | 51.3 | 40.0 (+4.7) | 6.33 |
| 2021.10 | 88.9 | 88.3 | 37.4 | 45.0 (+5.0) | 7.38 |
| 2021.11 | 86.2 | 84.4 | 34.8 | 50.6 (+5.6) | 9.83 |
| 2021.12 | 103.0 | 99.8 | 67.5 | (55.7 projected, +5.1) | 6.40 |
| 2022.01 | 103.8 | 100.5 | 54.0 | (60.4 projected, +4.7) | 8.92 |
| 2022.02 | 109.1 | 106.5 | 59.7 | (66.9 projected, +6.5) | 10.46 |
| 2022.03 | 117.0 | 115.8 | 78.5 | (72.4 projected, +5.5) | 10.20 |
| 2022.04 | 130.8 | 131.7 | 84.1 | (77.6 projected, +5.2) | 11.79 |
| 2022.05 | 133.8 | 136.8 | 96.5 | (84.1 projected, +6.5) | 7.48 |
| 2022.06 | 102.6 (1) | 15.4 (2A) / 41.9 (2B) / 96.6 (2C) | (89.9 projected, +5.8) | (4.9) | |
| 2022.07 | (97.2 projected, +7.3) | ||||
| 2022.08 | (103.8 projected, +6.6) | ||||
| 2022.09 | (108.8 projected, +5.0) | ||||
| 2022.10 | (112.0 projected, +3.2) | ||||
| 2022.11 | (114.8 projected, +2.8) | ||||
1) Running average based on the daily 20:00 UTC observed solar flux value at 2800 MHz
and any corrections applied to that measurement.
2A) Current impact on the monthly sunspot number based on the Boulder (NOAA/SWPC) sunspot number (accumulated daily sunspots / month days).
2B) Boulder SN current month average to date.
2C) STAR SDO 1K Wolf number 30 day average.
3) Running average based on the quicklook and definitive Potsdam WDC ap indices. Values in red
are based on the definitive international
GFZ Potsdam WDC ap indices.
4) Source: SIDC-SILSO.
This report has been prepared by Jan Alvestad. It is based on the analysis of data from whatever sources are available at the time the report is prepared. All time references are to Universal Time. Comments and suggestions are always welcome.
SDO images are courtesy of NASA/SDO and the AIA, EVE, and HMI science teams.
