Last major update issued on June 2, 2014 at 04:30 UTC.
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[Solar wind and electron fluence charts (updated daily)]
[Solar cycles 23-24 (last update June 1, 2014)] [Cycle 24 progress (last update June 1, 2014) ]
[Solar cycles 1-20]
[Graphical comparison of cycles 21, 22, 23 and 24 (last update June 1, 2014)]
[Graphical comparison of cycles 10, 12, 13, 14, 16 and 24 (last update June 1, 2014)]
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[POES auroral activity level October
2009 - December 2012]
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[Presentations: 3rd SSN Workshop, Tucson, 2013 (pdf) / 4th SSN Workshop, Locarno, 2014]
The geomagnetic field was quiet on June 1. Solar wind speed at SOHO ranged between 287 and 321 km/s.
Solar flux at 20h UTC on 2.8 GHz was 103.3 (decreasing 35.7 over the last solar rotation). The 90 day 10.7 flux at 1 AU was 141.0. The Potsdam WDC planetary A index was 5 (STAR Ap - based on the mean of three hour interval ap indices: 4.9). Three hour interval K indices: 11121111 (planetary), 11221211 (Boulder).
The background x-ray flux is at the class B2 level.
At the time of counting spots (see image time), spots were observed in 8 active regions using 2K resolution (SN: 120) and 8 active regions using 1K resolution (SN: 108) SDO images on the visible solar disk.
Region 12075 [S09W38] decayed slowly and quietly.
Region 12077 [S03E47] developed slowly producing a single low level C flare. There is a weak magnetic delta structure in the trailing spot section. A minor M class flare is possible.
New region 12078 [S18E16] emerged on May 30 and was numbered by SWPC 2 days later.
New region 12079 [N12E67] rotated into view on May 31 and was numbered by SWPC the next day. The region produced the largest flare of the day, a C2.4 event at 01:37 UTC.
Spotted regions not numbered (or interpreted differently) by SWPC:
S3483 [S11W08] was quiet and stable.
S3492 [N12E43] was quiet and stable.
New region S3494 [N03E75] rotated into view.
New region S3495 [S10E25] emerged with a few spots.
May 30 - June 1: No obviously Earth directed CMEs were observed in LASCO and STEREO imagery.
Coronal hole history (since October
Compare today's report to the situation one solar rotation ago: 28 days ago 27 days ago 26 days ago
A coronal hole (CH620) in the southern hemisphere was in an Earth facing position on May 31 - June 1.
Long distance low and medium frequency (below 2 MHz) propagation along paths north of due west over upper middle latitudes is fair. Propagation on long distance northeast-southwest paths is poor.
The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet on June 2-4. On June 3-4 there is a chance of unsettled intervals due to effects from CH620.
|Coronal holes (1)||Coronal mass ejection (2)||M and X class flares (3)|
2) Effects from a CME are likely to be observed at Earth within 96 hours.
3) There is a possibility of either M or X class flares within the next 48 hours.
Green: 0-30% probability, Yellow: 30-70% probability, Red: 70-100% probability.
(Click on image for 2K resolution) Compare to the previous day's image. 0.5K image
When available the active region map has a coronal hole polarity overlay where red (pink) is negative and blue is positive.
|Active region||Date numbered
|Spot count||Location at midnight||Area||Classification||SDO / HMI 4K continuum
image with magnetic polarity overlay
|Total spot count:||18||40||28|
|Sunspot number:||68||120||108||(total spot count + 10 * number of spotted regions)|
|Weighted SN:||31||59||47||(Sum of total spot count + classification weighting for each AR. Classification weighting: X=0, R=3, A/S=5, H/K=10)|
|Relative sunspot number (Wolf number):||41||42||59||k * (sunspot number). k = 0.6 for SWPC, k = 0.35 for MSN 2K, k = 0.55 for MSN 1K (MSN=Magnetic Sunspot Number)|
|Month||Average solar flux||International sunspot number
|Smoothed sunspot number||Average ap
|2013.12||147.7||143.1||90.3||(75.8 projected, +0.4)||4.68|
|2014.01||157.4||152.4||82.0||(76.4 projected, +0.6)||5.44|
|166.3||102.8 (cycle peak)||(76.2 projected, -0.2)||10.70|
|2014.03||149.9||148.5||92.2||(76.6 projected, +0.4)||4.88|
|2014.04||143.9||144.8||84.7||(75.8 projected, -0.8)||7.88|
|2014.05||129.7||132.9||75.2||(73.2 projected, -2.6)||5.7|
|2014.06||104.3 (1)||4.1 (2A) / 62 (2B) / 90.6 (2C)||(70.5 projected, -2.7)||(4.6)|
1) Running average based on the daily 20:00 UTC observed solar flux value at
2A) Current impact on the monthly sunspot number based on the Boulder (NOAA/SWPC) sunspot number (accumulated daily sunspots / month days). The official WDC-SILSO international sunspot number is typically 30-50% lower. 2B) Boulder SN current month average to date. 2C) STAR SDO 1K Wolf number 30 day average.
3) Running average based on the quicklook and definitive Potsdam WDC ap indices. Values in red are based on the definitive international GFZ Potsdam WDC ap indices.
This report has been prepared by Jan Alvestad. It is based on the analysis of data from whatever sources are available at the time the report is prepared. All time references are to the UTC day. Comments and suggestions are always welcome.
SDO images are courtesy of NASA/SDO and the AIA, EVE, and HMI science teams.